Five tools, one honest answer.
Describe your options, add uncertainty ranges, and let 1,000 simulated futures vote on your best move. See the math behind LifeOdds.
What is Monte Carlo?
Instead of a single spreadsheet answer, LifeOdds samples every uncertain input thousands of times and plays your decision forward in each of those futures, so you see the whole distribution of outcomes rather than one guess.
Bayesian updating
As real evidence arrives, LifeOdds updates your prior beliefs into a posterior — a principled way to change your mind by the right amount when a new data point lands.
Sensitivity analysis
A tornado chart ranks which variables move the result most, so you know which assumptions are worth pinning down and which barely matter.
When the simulator works best
It shines on decisions with a few big uncertain drivers and a real time horizon — job changes, moves, buy-vs-rent, freelance-vs-employed — where the range of outcomes matters more than a point estimate.